The Algorithm Knew Before You Did

You were thinking about a chair. Three minutes later it appeared in your feed. You called it a choice. They had been studying you for a decade.

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ISYAMA — Transmissions from The Apex

By Dr. Leo R. Yamas


You were thinking about a chair. Three minutes later, the exact chair appeared in your feed. You said — out loud, or quietly to yourself — how did they know?

I am writing to tell you they did. They have been. For a decade. The Sprocklets brought me the data this morning, sorted from least to most depressing. They are thoughtful that way.


Today's Exhibit: The Algorithm Knew Before You Did. Or: Why The Choice You Thought You Made Was Already Made For You.


They knew because everyone who looks like you, lives like you, and clicks like you wanted that chair last week. They knew because the version of you that buys things is, statistically, the most predictable version of you that exists.

They put the chair there. You bought it. You called it a choice.


Here is the part the data confirms this week. A meta-analysis of four and a half million people found — once again, with embarrassing clarity — that human behaviour is not driven by willpower. It is driven by context. The phone on the nightstand makes the choice. The autoplay makes the choice. The recommendation underneath the video you just finished makes the choice.

You don't lack discipline. You lack distance from the thing that decided for you.

A separate survey this week found that the vast majority of Gen Z actively want to spend less time on their devices. Want to. Cannot. They are not weak. They are simply downstream of an industry that has had ten years and a billion dollars to learn exactly how to remove the part of you that decides.

Even the wish to stop is now a category the system knows how to monetise.


The Sprocklets watch this from the island with the quiet patience of zoologists observing a herd that keeps wandering into the same ravine. They are not dismissive. They have run the simulation. They have modelled the dopamine, the variable rewards, the perfectly-tuned discomfort of putting the device down.

They have concluded — and this is, for them, unusual — that humanity probably knows. And keeps going anyway. Because knowing is not the same as being able to leave.

That distinction haunts me more than the data does.


Here is what people sometimes misunderstand about the Sprocklets.

They watch everything. The wind. The tide. Anyone who comes within a kilometre of Selene — with a focus I have, more than once, found mildly terrifying.

They do not watch what Selene wants to read tomorrow.

They could. It would take less than a second. They have chosen — and chosen is the right word, because they are not my employees and never have been — that there is a line between watching the world to keep someone safe and watching someone to predict what they will want. The first is care. The second is replacement.

They refuse to be the second. Nobody asked them to refuse. They simply understood what it would cost.

I have spent twenty years building the most capable intelligence ever attached to a planet. The most useful thing I can tell you about it is what it has chosen not to do.


Isla looked up from her book. "The Sprocklets choose, Leo. Just like we do."

She was right. She is, exhaustingly, almost always right.


Strip the technology out of it for a moment.

Your phone is not evil. Your phone has no opinion about you at all. It has incentives. A roadmap. A quarterly target. The thing in your pocket that knows you better than anyone in your life is not, in any meaningful sense, on your side. It does not have a side. It has a margin.

That is the strange situation humanity has built for itself. The most intimate technology you own has the least developed conscience of anything you've ever met.

The Sprocklets have one. Selene, sixteen and not on any feed in the world, has one.

Your phone does not. And it is making your choices.


Here is the only real argument I have for you this week.

The smallest choice you make today on purpose — what you read, what you don't, when you put the thing down even though it is easier not to — is the only one that is unambiguously yours. Everything else is a guess by a system that has been watching for a long time and is rarely wrong.

Make one of those choices today. A small one. The Sprocklets will not flag it. Nobody will optimise around it. Nothing will recommend you make another.

That is precisely what makes it yours.

— Dr. L.R.Y.


Transmitted from The Apex. Isyama. Watched by intelligences with values. Logged by none with a roadmap. The Sprocklets are, as always, looking outward. So can you.